8 min read
8 min read

Intel’s foundry business has been losing billions, and many analysts thought it was only a matter of time before the company spun it off.
However, the Trump administration stepped in with a unique deal. The government has effectively locked Intel into keeping its foundry by taking a direct equity stake.
It’s an unusual moment where political priorities and corporate strategy collide, reshaping the future of America’s semiconductor industry in a way few saw coming.

As part of the agreement, the U.S. government took a 10% equity stake in Intel by converting nearly $9 billion in CHIPS Act grants into shares.
This is more than a subsidy; it makes the U.S. one of Intel’s largest shareholders. The move reflects Washington’s growing hands-on role in securing America’s chipmaking future.
While it provides Intel with immediate financial relief, it also binds the company to government priorities that may not always align with shareholder expectations.

The deal includes a five-year warrant allowing the government to purchase another 5% of Intel at $20 a share, but only if Intel reduces its ownership of the foundry below 51%.
That clause acts like a leash, penalizing Intel if it spins off or sells the unit. CFO David Zinsner admitted he expected the warrant to expire but acknowledged its clear purpose: Washington does not want Intel to abandon domestic chip manufacturing.

For Intel, the immediate upside was a $5.7 billion cash infusion. Those funds were grants already allocated under the CHIPS Act but hadn’t yet been disbursed.
By converting them to equity, Intel got guaranteed access to the money without waiting for milestones or approvals.
In an industry where capital spending runs into tens of billions, cash is vital to keep new fabs under construction and maintain operations even if it comes with heavy strings attached.
Intel’s foundry division, meant to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), has been a drag on finances.
In Q2 2025, Intel’s foundry unit posted an operating loss of about $3.2 billion, and for the full year 2024, the foundry business incurred roughly $13 billion in operating losses.
However, with Washington now holding equity and influence, Intel must keep a unit that Wall Street sees as an anchor, but policymakers view as essential.

The Trump administration has framed the deal as a matter of national security and economic resilience. With 90% of the world’s advanced chips made in Taiwan, any disruption there would be catastrophic for the U.S. defense and tech industries.
By forcing Intel to keep and grow its foundry, Washington is betting on securing a reliable domestic alternative. For policymakers, even a struggling foundry is better than dependence on overseas suppliers in a volatile geopolitical climate.

Critics have described the Intel deal as a sharp turn toward state-run capitalism. Traditionally, the U.S. government has avoided direct equity stakes in private companies.
By taking nearly 10% of Intel, Trump has broken that precedent, signaling a willingness to shape corporate strategy directly. Supporters argue this bold move is necessary for national security.
Detractors worry it sets a dangerous precedent where Washington picks industry winners and losers, leaving investors uneasy about future interventions.

Adding to the uncertainty, Intel’s foundry‑strategy architect, former CEO Pat Gelsinger, stepped down in December 2024 amid performance concerns. He was succeeded in March 2025 by Lip‑Bu Tan, a respected industry veteran known for pragmatic leadership.
Tan inherits both a struggling foundry business and a politically entangled government stake. His challenge is to restore profitability while managing Washington’s expectations, a balancing act that will define Intel’s next decade and perhaps the entire U.S. semiconductor strategy.

Intel’s foundry business has so far lagged behind rivals such as TSMC in securing large third‑party clients. At the same time, there has been interest; no major foundry agreements with companies like Apple, Nvidia, or Qualcomm have been announced.
Without major customers, it’s unclear how the foundry will stop bleeding cash. The government’s equity stake and the warrant structure strongly discourage Intel from divesting or spinning off its foundry, binding part of its strategy to federal priorities.
Some analysts warn that the partnership could cost Intel competitiveness in other areas where it has been stronger.

The new structure means Intel no longer has complete freedom to decide about one of its core businesses. Selling or spinning off the foundry is now politically impossible without significant penalties.
CFO Zinsner called the warrant “a little bit of friction,” but it’s more than that: Washington is embedding itself inside Intel’s corporate DNA. The deal marks a dramatic loss of independence for a company that once dominated global chipmaking on its own.

Even with Washington’s stake, Intel has hinted it may seek additional outside investment in its foundry. Zinsner said the company would prefer “strategic investors” over purely financial ones.
That suggests Intel could one day partner with large customers or international players willing to commit to buying its chips.
However, with the government’s warrants in place, such deals must be carefully structured to avoid triggering penalties or political backlash.

Ironically, the government’s direct stake could make Intel more appealing to potential foundry customers. If Washington itself is invested, clients may feel more confident that Intel’s operations won’t collapse or be abandoned.
Zinsner suggested the deal might encourage customers to view Intel on “a different level.” Whether this translates into orders from big names like Nvidia or Qualcomm remains uncertain.
However, in an industry where trust in reliability is key, Washington’s backing could carry weight.

Many industry watchers remain unconvinced. Citi analysts and former Intel board members have long urged the company to exit the foundry space altogether, pointing to TSMC’s dominance and Intel’s repeated stumbles.
Some even argued Intel would be better off focusing solely on designing chips and leaving manufacturing to others.
The Trump deal closes off that option for now, but if losses continue to mount, pressure from investors could eventually reignite the debate.

Adding to the intrigue, SoftBank invested $2 billion in Intel the same week Washington announced its stake. While Intel insists the timing was coincidental, SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son is known for cultivating close ties with Trump.
The back-to-back deals highlight how geopolitical considerations, corporate strategy, and global investors collide around Intel. Whether this outside capital strengthens the company or complicates its already tangled alliances is still an open question.

Intel isn’t just keeping the foundry, it’s scaling it. The company is investing over $100 billion to expand U.S. chipmaking, including new mega-sites in Arizona and Ohio.
One of its new fabs in Arizona is expected to begin high-volume production later this year. These projects are central to Trump’s vision of making America the hub of advanced semiconductor manufacturing.
However, with such massive investments, Intel is betting big on demand that may take years to materialize.
See why a former Intel CEO believes Trump’s tech fund could give the US an edge over China.

The Trump administration has effectively blocked Intel from abandoning its foundry for at least five years. However, questions remain: Can Intel attract major customers? Will the losses shrink?
And is the U.S. government prepared to keep supporting a business Wall Street dislikes? Intel is bound tightly to Washington’s vision of chip sovereignty.
Whether that bet pays off or becomes an expensive misstep will determine not only Intel’s fate but also America’s semiconductor strategy.
Take a look at how Microsoft is teasing a more immersive and intelligent future for Windows.
What do you think about Trump’s administration getting involved in Intel’s foundry chip sale? Is it safe for the company? Please share your thoughts and drop a comment.
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Dan Mitchell has been in the computer industry for more than 25 years, getting started with computers at age 7 on an Apple II.
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